14 October 2021
2050 vision: How a new wave of council housing can rebuild the post-pandemic economy
Mark Pragnell, Pragmatix Advisory,and
Chloe Fletcher, Policy Director, NFA
COUNCIL housing is home to over three million people in England and yields more than £7bn a year in rental income for the local authorities that manage them.
Most could go on being decent homes for generations of young and old well beyond 2050, but only if government policy recognises that social housing is a valid and affordable option for those who want it.
Our financially stricken local authorities also need full support from central government as they strive to decarbonise council stock to meet zero-carbon targets. And with more than two million homeless households likely to be on waiting lists by this time next year, and private sector rents and temporary accommodation draining public money from the system, they are desperate to build.
But – cash. It’s the post-pandemic word on everyone’s lips. Even if political will is with us, where will the money come from for the 100,000 new homes a year that England’s councils and social housing providers are itching to deliver?
A fully costed answer, and one that also puts money into Treasury coffers if a government is willing to plan for the medium to long term, is in a newly published report from economics and policy research specialists Pragmatix Advisory.
If and when families move on to home ownership as their circumstances improve, these new houses should remain part of the public infrastructure, on hand for future generations.
It is packed to the gunnels with hard figures around the big-picture savings that good quality, carbon-neutral new homes would put into the public purse. Lower benefits, improved health, better education and employment outcomes – this research draws on the wealth of evidence that traces these value-for-money wins directly to the provision of decent, affordable homes.
Tax receipts from the original construction activity and supply chain work that goes into building those new social homes will be worth £2.6 billion for every 100,000 homes built, exactly the kind of boost our post-pandemic economy needs.
Savings on unemployment benefit will come as many new tenants see their employment prospects improve – good work is hard to find if you can’t sleep, eat, wash and keep warm. Moving 100,000 households out of poor quality homes and temporary accommodation will save the NHS £33 million every year – and that’s a conservative estimate, based on well-documented evidence about the impact of good housing on health outcomes.
And every year, £24 million would be cut from the energy bills of these modern net-zero houses compared to current poorly insulated and expensively heated housing stock. In turn, that leaves room for higher rents that give a realistic rate of return on investment to cover maintenance and invest in future builds. If and when families move on to home ownership as their circumstances improve, these houses should remain part of the public infrastructure, on hand for future generations.
At a time when local authorities are being handed a very long, very expensive shopping list by central government, the question has to be – why on earth wouldn’t we?
All council homes must reach EPC Band C or better by 2030; new building safety and fire safety legislation and a new Decent Homes standard are all on the horizon; the government wants an end to all rough sleeping and homelessness.
Let’s look forward. it’s never been so important to consider how money raised from taxes is spent, and how much return our communities get from it.
Somehow councils have to find a way to build more homes and house the homeless, while current Right to Buy rules still make it impossible to replace each home sold with one to rent; and their hands remain tied by government rules on rent pricing.
Since the introduction of self-financing for council housing in 2012, local authorities have been encouraged to take a long-term view of their housing management and, indeed, they are still keen to do that. This was a great idea that should by now be delivering real efficiency benefits.
A whole-of-life approach to housing asset management across a 30-year plan makes sound fiscal sense. It would sustain the quality of current stock and anticipate future investment need. In practice, however, a succession of changes in Government policy driven largely by short-term considerations has hollowed out any such benefits.
So let’s look forward. We can all see it’s never been so important to consider how money raised from taxes is spent, and how much return our communities get from it. Every last penny of public money must earn its keep – several times over, if possible.
It isn’t even all about seed money. Government can also remove uncertainty to let councils confidently plan ahead and schedule investment without having to wonder what future shifts in the policy goal posts will affect rent income, Right to Buy sales and reasonable borrowing capacity.
We need 300,000 new homes a year, starting now. We’re hoping for a spending review that lets us do our bit – and puts money back into the public pocket.
Mark Pragnell,
Pragmatix Advisory
Chloe Fletcher,
Policy Director, NFA
